Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Luka Ploce vs Uljanik Pula

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026 NK Jadran, Luka Ploce
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Maric N.
43' Event
Matanovic L.
65' Event
Rossi D.

AI Match Summary

Jadran Luka Ploce in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jadran Luka Ploce
30%
Draws
33%
Uljanik Pula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Jadran Luka Ploce have won more games recently than Uljanik Pula.
  • Model gives Jadran Luka Ploce a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Jadran Luka Ploce have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 68%
Uljanik Pula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce Uljanik Pula
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Uljanik Pula
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Druga NL
Uljanik Pula vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 Druga NL
Uljanik Pula vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Uljanik Pula
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Maric N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matanovic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Uljanik Pula Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 50 / 100
Uljanik Pula 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce Uljanik Pula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Luka Ploce's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jadran Luka Ploce has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Uljanik Pula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS Uljanik Pula
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4
Jadran Luka Ploce
22 Aug
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 2
Opatija
30 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Radnik Krizevci
23 May
Croatia Dakovo
0 : 6
Jadran Luka Ploce
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Uljanik Pula

(Away)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
30 Aug
Solin
1 : 3
Uljanik Pula
26 Aug
Tomislav DA
4 : 0
Uljanik Pula
21 Aug
Uljanik Pula
3 : 2
Dragovoljac
22 Jul
Primorje
0 : 0
Uljanik Pula
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)