Sport Picks
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Croatia
Druga NL 2025/2026 NK Jadran, Luka Ploce 
Match Events
38'
38'
Maric N.
39'
39'
Kovacec D.
47'
47'
Maric N.
AI Match Summary
Jadran Luka Ploce in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Luka Ploce.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Jadran Luka Ploce have won more games recently than Varteks Varazdin (2011).
- Win probability leans Jadran Luka Ploce's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 68%
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jadran Luka Ploce | Varteks Varazdin (2011) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Varteks Varazdin (2011)
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Druga NL
Varteks Varazdin (2011) vs Jadran Luka Ploce
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jadran Luka Ploce Compare
Top Goalscorer Maric N.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Varteks Varazdin (2011) Compare
Top Goalscorer Kovacec D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jadran Luka Ploce 95 / 100
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jadran Luka Ploce Varteks Varazdin (2011)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jadran Luka Ploce scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Varteks Varazdin (2011) let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Jadran Luka Ploce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jadran Luka Ploce VS Varteks Varazdin (2011)
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Jadran Luka Ploce
(Home) 19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0 Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4 Jadran Luka Ploce
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Orijent
02 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 1 Dubrava Zagreb
22 Aug
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 2 Opatija
30 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0 Radnik Krizevci
09 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
2 : 1 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Page 1 of 3
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
(Away) 19 Sept
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
0 : 2 NK Inker Zapresic
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
05 Sept
Uskok Klis
4 : 1 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
26 Aug
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
2 : 3 Bedem Ivankovo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
05 Sept
Uskok Klis
4 : 1 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
22 Aug
Radnik Krizevci
3 : 0 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
23 May
Radnik Krizevci
0 : 2 Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Segesta | 30 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 58:33 | 65 |
| 2 | Kustosija | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 55:23 | 59 |
| 3 | Jadran Luka Ploce | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 56:29 | 59 |
| 4 | Mladost Zdralovi | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 48:32 | 59 |
| 5 | Uljanik Pula | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 53:44 | 52 |
| 6 | Uskok Klis | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Radnik Krizevci | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 39:28 | 47 |
| 8 | Solin | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Trnje | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37:48 | 31 |
| 10 | Grobnican | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 46:60 | 31 |
| 11 | Varteks Varazdin (2011) | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 34:48 | 31 |
| 12 | Bjelovar | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 32:46 | 29 |
| 13 | Lucko | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 32:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Dugo Selo | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 22:43 | 29 |
| 15 | Dragovoljac | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 28:49 | 28 |
| 16 | Croatia Dakovo | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 30:56 | 25 |
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)
