Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jadran Porec vs Marsonia

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Lelic S.
54' Event
Stanic L.
76' Event
Scira D.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2024/2025 game between Jadran Porec and Marsonia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jadran Porec
15%
Draws
85%
Marsonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marsonia come out ahead of Jadran Porec on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Marsonia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Marsonia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 15%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Porec Marsonia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 1
Losses 26 19
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Marsonia
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Jadran Porec
3:1
Jun 1, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Marsonia
1:3
Nov 25, 2023 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Jadran Porec
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Jadran Porec
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Porec Compare

Top Goalscorer Scira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Marsonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stanic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Porec 10 / 100
Marsonia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Porec Marsonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsonia let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Jadran Porec scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Marsonia's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Porec VS Marsonia
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Porec

(Home)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
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Marsonia

(Away)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)