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Jadran Porec vs Zagorec Krapina

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2022/2023
Jadran Porec Logo

Jadran Porec

1 - 1
FT
Zagorec Krapina Logo

Zagorec Krapina

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kanceljak M.
76' Event
Sumic O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druga NL 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jadran Porec
15%
Draws
85%
Zagorec Krapina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorec Krapina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Zagorec Krapina have won more games recently than Jadran Porec.
  • Model gives Zagorec Krapina a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 15%
Zagorec Krapina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Porec Zagorec Krapina
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 26 12
Goals Scored 0.78 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Zagorec Krapina
1:1
Nov 19, 2022 Druga NL
Zagorec Krapina vs Jadran Porec
1:1
May 21, 2000 Prva NL
Zagorec Krapina vs Jadran Porec
0:2
Nov 7, 1999 Prva NL
Jadran Porec vs Zagorec Krapina
3:1
Mar 13, 1999 Prva NL
Zagorec Krapina vs Jadran Porec
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Porec Compare

Top Goalscorer Sumic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Zagorec Krapina Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanceljak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Porec 23 / 100
Zagorec Krapina 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Porec Zagorec Krapina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagorec Krapina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagorec Krapina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Jadran Porec scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Zagorec Krapina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Porec VS Zagorec Krapina
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Porec

(Home)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
Page 1 of 7

Zagorec Krapina

(Away)
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
26 Aug
Granicar Kotoriba
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
14 Aug
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
31 Jul
Segesta
4 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
27 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 2
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sesvete 30 19 8 3 64:24 65
2 Zrinski Osjecko 30 19 6 5 45:22 63
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 17 9 4 54:23 60
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 14 8 8 48:26 50
5 Bjelovar 30 12 10 8 46:31 46
6 Dugo Selo 30 12 9 9 50:43 45
7 Opatija 30 12 9 9 48:42 45
8 Hrvace 30 10 8 12 48:49 38
9 Belisce 30 10 7 13 39:47 37
10 Jadran Porec 30 9 9 12 51:61 36
11 Marsonia 30 11 3 16 40:52 36
12 Grobnican 30 10 5 15 42:44 35
13 Trnje 30 9 7 14 43:55 34
14 Zagorec Krapina 30 9 7 14 36:53 34
15 Osijek 2 30 7 4 19 32:64 25
16 Medjimurje 30 4 3 23 22:72 15
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)