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Jaen vs Baleares Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria, Jaén
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Siverio M.
61' Event
Cabello M.
Own Goal
90' Event
Alonso A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Jaen in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jaen
30%
Draws
23%
Baleares
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jaen lately — more wins on the board than Baleares.
  • Jaen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Jaen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaen, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jaen Clean Sheet 16%
Baleares Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Baleares
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.42 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Baleares vs Jaen
1:2
May 24, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Jaen vs Baleares
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Siverio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Baleares Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 66 / 100
Baleares 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Baleares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Baleares's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Jaen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS Baleares
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
27 Sept
Antequera
2 : 0
Jaen
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
Page 1 of 7

Baleares

(Away)
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
CF Intercity
2 : 2
Baleares
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Baleares
30 Aug
Baleares
3 : 1
Porreres
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B 2
Jaen 3
Baleares 4
Coruxo FC 1
Deportiva Minera 0
CD Coria 1
Real Oviedo B 3
Tudelano 1
UD Logrones 4
Getafe B 1
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Alcoyano 1
UD Ourense 2
Reus FC Reddis 1
Conquense 1
Xerez CD 1
Aguilas FC 4
Utebo FC 2
UD Poblense 3
Numancia 1
Final
Jaen 4
Baleares 2
CD Coria 4
Real Oviedo B 0
UD Logrones 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
UD Ourense 3
Conquense 0
Aguilas FC 2
UD Poblense 1