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Jaen vs Melilla CD

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 game between Jaen and Melilla CD finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Jaen
20%
Draws
0%
Melilla CD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jaen a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jaen have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
Melilla CD Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Melilla CD
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.51 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Jaen
2:1
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Melilla CD
1:0
Feb 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla CD vs Jaen
0:1
Aug 25, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Melilla CD
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 95 / 100
Melilla CD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Melilla CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (35 games).

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Melilla CD lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Melilla CD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
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Melilla CD

(Away)
09 Oct
Chiclana
4 : 0
Melilla CD
12 Oct
Melilla CD
1 : 3
Deportivo Murcia
19 Oct
CD Algar
4 : 1
Melilla CD
06 Jun
Melilla CD
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
29 May
Maracena
5 : 2
Melilla CD
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