Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaen vs Puente Genil

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Siverio M.
31'
Gonzalez P.
34' Event
Siverio M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Jaen and Puente Genil finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Jaen
15%
Draws
32%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jaen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Puente Genil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.62 1
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Jaen vs Puente Genil
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs Jaen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Siverio M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Puente Genil Compare

Top Goalscorer Alconchel I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 50 / 100
Puente Genil 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Puente Genil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jaen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS Puente Genil
1.5 Goals Scored 1.43
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

Puente Genil

(Away)
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
13 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Puente Genil
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
29 Aug
Pozoblanco
1 : 3
Puente Genil
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)