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Jaen vs Puente Genil

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Siverio M.
31'
Gonzalez P.
34' Event
Siverio M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Jaen and Puente Genil finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jaen
20%
Draws
33%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jaen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Puente Genil
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.3 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Jaen vs Puente Genil
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs Jaen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Siverio M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Puente Genil Compare

Top Goalscorer Alconchel I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 86 / 100
Puente Genil 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Puente Genil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jaen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS Puente Genil
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
24 May
Jaen
2 : 1
Baleares
Page 1 of 7

Puente Genil

(Away)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
19 Apr
Jaen
2 : 1
Puente Genil
12 Apr
Puente Genil
1 : 1
Deportiva Minera
05 Apr
Xerez CD
0 : 1
Puente Genil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)