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Jagiellonia II vs Legionowo

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 Chorten Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia II play Legionowo in the III Liga - Group I 2023/2024. Jagiellonia II are favorites here. Recently, Jagiellonia II averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Legionowo averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Jagiellonia II won 2, Legionowo won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Jagiellonia II and 0.88 for Legionowo. This points to a Jagiellonia II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Jagiellonia II
18%
Draws
26%
Legionowo
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia II picked up more points recently compared to Legionowo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 25%
Legionowo Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia II Legionowo
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.65 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Legionowo
4:0
Oct 18, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Legionowo vs Jagiellonia II
4:2
Apr 16, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Legionowo
4:0
Sep 10, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Legionowo vs Jagiellonia II
4:1
Nov 28, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Legionowo
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Vinicius
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wojdakowski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Legionowo Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 55 / 100
Legionowo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia II Legionowo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagiellonia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jagiellonia II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jagiellonia II attacking → ← attacking Legionowo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia II scored in 81% of their last 37 games.

Legionowo let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Jagiellonia II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Legionowo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 25
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919