Sport Picks
Jagiellonia II vs Lidzbark Warmimski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
55'
55'
Matuc A.
71'
71'
Zalewski Z.
84'
84'
Zalewski Z.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Jagiellonia II in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagiellonia II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lidzbark Warmimski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jagiellonia II have won more games recently than Lidzbark Warmimski.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Lidzbark Warmimski taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Jagiellonia II have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jagiellonia II | Lidzbark Warmimski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Lidzbark Warmimski
2:1
May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Jagiellonia II
0:3
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Lidzbark Warmimski
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jagiellonia II Compare
Top Goalscorer Zalewski Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Lidzbark Warmimski Compare
Top Goalscorer Matuc A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jagiellonia II 26 / 100
Lidzbark Warmimski 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jagiellonia II Lidzbark Warmimski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lidzbark Warmimski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Jagiellonia II scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.
Lidzbark Warmimski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Jagiellonia II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jagiellonia II VS Lidzbark Warmimski
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jagiellonia II
(Home) 30 Oct
Jagiellonia II
2 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
24 Oct
Olimpia Elblag
0 : 0 Jagiellonia II
18 Oct
Jagiellonia II
1 : 3 Swit Mazowiecki
14 Oct
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1 Troszyn
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 7
30 Oct
Jagiellonia II
2 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
18 Oct
Jagiellonia II
1 : 3 Swit Mazowiecki
14 Oct
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1 Troszyn
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3 LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
Page 1 of 4
Lidzbark Warmimski
(Away) 30 Oct
Jagiellonia II
2 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
24 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 0 LKS Lodz II
17 Oct
MKS Mlawa
3 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2 LKS Lomza
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Jagiellonia II
2 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
17 Oct
MKS Mlawa
3 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 30:15 | 31 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 36:28 | 27 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 26 |
| 5 | Zabkovia Zabki | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Warta Sieradz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Plock II | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:24 | 25 |
| 8 | Pelikan | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 9 | Olimpia Zambrow | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31:31 | 21 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 27:27 | 20 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz II | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 19 |
| 12 | LKS Lodz II | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 27:30 | 18 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:30 | 17 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | 15 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 28:41 | 14 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16:35 | 4 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
