Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025

Jagiellonia II

1 - 1

Stomil Olsztyn

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Karpinski J.

48'

Gojko D.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Jagiellonia II

39%

Draws

31%

Stomil Olsztyn

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Jagiellonia II lately — more wins on the board than Stomil Olsztyn.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 20%

Stomil Olsztyn Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jagiellonia II	Stomil Olsztyn
Matches Played	39	29
Wins	21	9
Draws	8	8
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Jagiellonia II vs Stomil Olsztyn

Possession: 46% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly

Jagiellonia II vs Stomil Olsztyn

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Nov 10, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Stomil Olsztyn vs Jagiellonia II

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly

Stomil Olsztyn vs Jagiellonia II

Possession: 53% - 60% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Feb 1, 2023 Club Friendly

Stomil Olsztyn vs Jagiellonia II

Possession: 42% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Stomil Olsztyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Karpinski J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 31 / 100

Stomil Olsztyn 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jagiellonia II Stomil Olsztyn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia II scored in 82% of their last 39 games.

Defensive concern: Stomil Olsztyn conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Jagiellonia II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia II VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	23	5	6	81:30	74
2	Legia II	34	21	7	6	75:39	70
3	LKS Lomza	34	18	10	6	68:38	64
4	Warta Sieradz	34	16	7	11	46:42	55
5	Suwalki	34	13	9	12	46:38	48
6	Jagiellonia II	34	13	8	13	54:49	47
7	Swit Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	47:58	47
8	GKS Belchatow	34	12	10	12	52:52	46
9	Bron Radom	34	12	10	12	40:48	46
10	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	7	14	57:64	46
11	MKS Mlawa	34	12	8	14	67:62	44
12	Plock II	34	11	10	13	54:58	43
13	GKS Wikielec	34	10	12	12	39:45	42
14	Stomil Olsztyn	34	11	9	14	44:56	42
15	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	52:59	41
16	Lidzbark Warmimski	34	9	14	11	46:60	41
17	Pelikan	34	9	6	19	34:58	33
18	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	34	2	6	26	26:72	12