Sport Picks
Jagiellonia II vs Suwalki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
53'
53'
Kucharczyk O.
60'
60'
Pawelczyk O.
69'
69'
Witasik P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I game between Jagiellonia II and Suwalki finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suwalki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Suwalki come out ahead of Jagiellonia II on wins alone.
- Model gives Suwalki a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jagiellonia II | Suwalki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Suwalki
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Suwalki
3:1
May 11, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Suwalki
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia II vs Suwalki
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jagiellonia II Compare
Top Goalscorer Pawelczyk O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Suwalki Compare
Top Goalscorer Kucharczyk O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jagiellonia II 18 / 100
Suwalki 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jagiellonia II Suwalki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Suwalki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jagiellonia II's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Suwalki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Jagiellonia II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jagiellonia II VS Suwalki
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Jagiellonia II
(Home) 10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3 LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3 LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Aug
Jagiellonia II
3 : 0 Pelikan
07 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Suwalki
Page 1 of 3
Suwalki
(Away) 09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3 Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3 Suwalki
19 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
1 : 1 Suwalki
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 12 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
