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Jagiellonia II vs Swit Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia II host Swit Mazowiecki in the III Liga - Group I. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Jagiellonia II at 2.13 goals for, 1.41 against; Swit Mazowiecki at 1.72 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Jagiellonia II have won 3 to Swit Mazowiecki's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.69) back Jagiellonia II to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jagiellonia II
15%
Draws
48%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Jagiellonia II have won more games recently than Swit Mazowiecki.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jagiellonia II taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 13%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia II Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Swit Mazowiecki
5:1
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Jagiellonia II
3:2
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Swit Mazowiecki
5:2
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 35 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia II Swit Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia II found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Swit Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Jagiellonia II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia II VS Swit Mazowiecki
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia II

(Home)
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3
LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 7

Swit Mazowiecki

(Away)
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)