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Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia II host Troszyn in the III Liga - Group I. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Jagiellonia II at 2.13 goals for, 1.38 against; Troszyn at 2.07 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Jagiellonia II have won 0 to Troszyn's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.75, favoring Jagiellonia II. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Jagiellonia II
30%
Draws
29%
Troszyn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jagiellonia II lately — more wins on the board than Troszyn.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Jagiellonia II taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 12%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia II Troszyn
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.13 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 65 / 100
Troszyn 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia II Troszyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagiellonia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia II scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Troszyn has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Jagiellonia II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia II VS Troszyn
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia II

(Home)
10 Oct
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3
LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 7

Troszyn

(Away)
10 Oct
Plock II
2 : 1
Troszyn
26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lodz II
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Troszyn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)