Sport Picks
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Chorten Arena, Bialystok 
Match Events
38'
38'
Janicki R.
47'
47'
Zmrzly O.
51'
51'
Kubicki J.
Assist: Liseth S.
AI Match Summary
Gornik Zabrze in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gornik Zabrze.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gornik Zabrze
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Jagiellonia average 1.66 goals a game right now, well clear of Gornik Zabrze's 1.44.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 16%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
1:3
Apr 24, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia
2:1
May 4, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jagiellonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Imaz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Gornik Zabrze Compare
Top Goalscorer Kubicki J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Liseth S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jagiellonia 36 / 100
Gornik Zabrze 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jagiellonia Gornik Zabrze
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gornik Zabrze Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jagiellonia found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).
Gornik Zabrze's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Jagiellonia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jagiellonia VS Gornik Zabrze
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jagiellonia
(Home) 10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0 Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0 Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 Slask Wroclaw
Page 1 of 4
Gornik Zabrze
(Away) 10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2 Odra Opole
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
06 Sept
Cracovia
0 : 1 Gornik Zabrze
03 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
