Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Augustyniak R.
(Penalty)
20'
20'
Prelec N.
Own Goal
35'
35'
Imaz J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Jagiellonia and Legia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Legia come out ahead of Jagiellonia on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Legia's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 16%
Legia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jagiellonia | Legia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 17 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Legia
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Legia
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Jagiellonia
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Jagiellonia
0:1
Feb 26, 2025 Polish Cup
Legia vs Jagiellonia
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jagiellonia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Legia Compare
Top Goalscorer Wszolek P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jagiellonia 28 / 100
Legia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jagiellonia Legia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Legia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jagiellonia scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Legia let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Jagiellonia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jagiellonia VS Legia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Jagiellonia
(Home) 20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0 Jagiellonia
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 Slask Wroclaw
03 Sept
Lech Poznan
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 Slask Wroclaw
20 Aug
Jagiellonia
4 : 0 Iberia 1999
09 Aug
Jagiellonia
0 : 2 Widzew Lodz
06 Aug
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 Rangers
Page 1 of 4
Legia
(Away) 20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
28 Aug
Legia
1 : 1 Slask Wroclaw
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
22 Aug
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 Legia
08 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Legia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
