Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Chorten Arena

Jagiellonia

3 - 1

Novi Pazar

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Imaz J.

45'

Kurdic N.

46'

Sub

Petkovic M. In: Malekinusic M.

Out: Petkovic M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Conference League 2025/2026 game between Jagiellonia and Novi Pazar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Jagiellonia

Draws

Novi Pazar

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagiellonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Jagiellonia carry the better recent record into this one.
Jagiellonia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 20%

Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jagiellonia	Novi Pazar
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	11	8
Draws	10	6
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	1.63	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.63	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2025 Conference League

Jagiellonia vs Novi Pazar

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Jul 24, 2025 Conference League

Novi Pazar vs Jagiellonia

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pululu A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Romanczuk T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Novi Pazar Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullahi A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 85 / 100

Novi Pazar 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jagiellonia Novi Pazar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Jagiellonia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Jagiellonia's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Novi Pazar has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Novi Pazar

1.63 Goals Scored 1.25

0.63 Goals Conceded 2

50% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Hamrun-

TBD-

RFS-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Vikingur-

TBD-

Zalgiris-

TBD-

Linfield-

Breidablik-

TBD-

Buducnost-

TBD-

Milsami-

TBD-

Virtus-

Drita-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Differdange-

Levadia-

TBD-

Iberia 1999-

O. Ljubljana-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Din. Minsk-

TBD-

KF Egnatia-

TBD-

Noah-

Strasbourg-

TBD-

Vllaznia4

BFC Daugavpils3

Malisheva0

Vikingur Reykjavik9

HB Torshavn-

TBD-

Brondby-

Silkeborg-

TBD-

KA Akureyri-

Novi Pazar-

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Zira FK-

TBD-

Hajduk Split-

Atletic Escaldes5

Dudelange2

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana-

Shakhtar-

TBD-

Servette-

Anderlecht-

TBD-

Sheriff Tiraspol-

Aris Limassol-

TBD-

Puskas Academy-

AEK-

TBD-

H. Beer Sheva-

Viking-

TBD-

Zeljeznicar2

Koper4

Cherno More-

TBD-

Basaksehir-

FK Sarajevo-

TBD-

Univ. Craiova-

Hibernians-

TBD-

Spartak Trnava-

Crystal Palace-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Lugano-

TBD-

Celje-

Ostrava-

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

TBD-

Spaeri-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Zilina-

Zhodino4

Rabotnicki0

TBD-

Maccabi Haifa-

FK Kauno Zalgiris4

Penybont1

Valur5

Flora1

Arda-

TBD-

NSI Runavik4

HJK5

Oleksandriya-

TBD-

Partizan-

TBD-

Hibernian-

TBD-

Legia-

Levski Sofia-

TBD-

Birkirkara1

Petrocub Hincesti3

TBD-

Sabah Baku-

Ilves-

TBD-

AZ Alkmaar-

Vaduz-

TBD-

Dungannon-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

Borac Banja Luka3

FC Santa Coloma4

Paks-

TBD-

Maribor-

TBD-

Fiorentina-

AIK-

TBD-

Magpies3

Paide Linnameeskond7

Tre Fiori1

Pyunik Yerevan5

TBD-

Gyor-

Decic3

Sileks2

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Dundee Utd-

TBD-

UNA Strassen-

Radnicki 1923-

TBD-

SJK1

Klaksvik4

FC Kosice-

TBD-

Urartu1

Neman6

TBD-

Rayo Vallecano-

La Fiorita2

Vardar5

TBD-

Lausanne-

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

FC Astana-

St. Patricks3

FC Hegelmann0

Kalju2

Partizani1

TBD-

Besiktas-

Larne3

FK Auda Riga2

TBD-

Prishtina-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Santa Clara-

FC Ballkani-

TBD-

Floriana5

Haverfordwest3

St Josephs5

Cliftonville4

TBD-

Shamrock Rovers-

Rosenborg-

TBD-

Banga-

Hammarby-

TBD-

Charleroi-

TBD-

Mainz-

Aktobe-

TBD-

Sparta Prague-

Ararat-Armenia-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Racing Luxembourg1

Dila Gori3

Sutjeska3

Dynamo Brest2

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Hacken-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

Wolfsberger AC-

TBD-

Araz PFK-

TBD-

Aris-

Omonia-

TBD-

Torpedo Kutaisi5

Ordabasy4

Quarter-finals

Hamrun-

TBD-

RFS-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Vikingur-

TBD-

Zalgiris0

Linfield2

Breidablik-

TBD-

Buducnost1

Milsami2

TBD-

Virtus-

Drita-

TBD-

TNS0

Differdange2

Levadia3

Iberia 19992

O. Ljubljana5

Inter Escaldes3

Din. Minsk0

KF Egnatia3

TBD-

Noah-

Strasbourg-

TBD-

Vllaznia4

Vikingur Reykjavik5

HB Torshavn1

Brondby2

Silkeborg4

KA Akureyri3

Novi Pazar2

Jagiellonia5

Zira FK2

Hajduk Split3

Atletic Escaldes2

Dinamo Tirana3

Shakhtar-

TBD-

Servette-

Anderlecht-

TBD-

Sheriff Tiraspol-

Aris Limassol5

Puskas Academy2

AEK1

H. Beer Sheva0

Viking12

Koper3

Cherno More0

Basaksehir5

FK Sarajevo2

Univ. Craiova5

Hibernians2

Spartak Trnava7

Crystal Palace-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Lugano-

TBD-

Celje-

Ostrava-

TBD-

Austria Vienna7

Spaeri0

Rakow Czestochowa6

Zilina1

Zhodino1

Maccabi Haifa4

FK Kauno Zalgiris3

Valur2

Arda3

HJK2

Oleksandriya0

Partizan6

TBD-

Hibernian-

TBD-

Legia-

Levski Sofia-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti1

Sabah Baku6

Ilves4

AZ Alkmaar8

Vaduz3

Dungannon1

Polissya Zhytomyr5

FC Santa Coloma3

Paks2

Maribor1

TBD-

Fiorentina-

AIK8

Paide Linnameeskond0

Pyunik Yerevan3

Gyor4

Decic2

Rapid Vienna6

Dundee Utd2

UNA Strassen0

Radnicki 19230

Klaksvik1

FC Kosice3

Neman4

TBD-

Rayo Vallecano-

Vardar2

Lausanne6

Zimbru Chisinau1

FC Astana3

St. Patricks3

Kalju2

TBD-

Besiktas-

Larne2

Prishtina1

Varazdin2

Santa Clara3

FC Ballkani5

Floriana3

St Josephs0

Shamrock Rovers4

Rosenborg7

Banga0

Hammarby2

Charleroi1

TBD-

Mainz-

Aktobe2

Sparta Prague5

Ararat-Armenia2

Universitatea Cluj1

Riga FC5

Dila Gori4

Sutjeska3

Beitar Jerusalem7

Hacken-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

Wolfsberger AC-

TBD-

Araz PFK4

Aris3

Omonia5

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Semi-finals

Hamrun-

TBD-

RFS-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Vikingur2

Linfield3

Breidablik-

TBD-

Milsami3

Virtus5

Drita-

TBD-

Differdange5

Levadia4

O. Ljubljana4

KF Egnatia2

TBD-

Noah-

Strasbourg-

TBD-

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Brondby4

Silkeborg2

Jagiellonia3

Hajduk Split3

Dinamo Tirana4

Shakhtar-

TBD-

Servette-

Anderlecht4

Sheriff Tiraspol1

Aris Limassol3

AEK5

Viking2

Basaksehir4

Univ. Craiova6

Spartak Trnava4

Crystal Palace-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Lugano4

Celje7

Ostrava5

Austria Vienna4

Rakow Czestochowa2

Maccabi Haifa1

FK Kauno Zalgiris0

Arda3

Partizan3

Hibernian4

TBD-

Legia-

Levski Sofia3

Sabah Baku0

AZ Alkmaar4

Vaduz0

Polissya Zhytomyr4

Paks2

TBD-

Fiorentina-

AIK2

Gyor3

Rapid Vienna5

Dundee Utd4

Klaksvik2

Neman3

TBD-

Rayo Vallecano-

Lausanne5

FC Astana1

St. Patricks3

Besiktas7

Larne0

Santa Clara3

FC Ballkani1

Shamrock Rovers4

Rosenborg1

Hammarby0

TBD-

Mainz-

Sparta Prague6

Ararat-Armenia2

Riga FC4

Beitar Jerusalem3

Hacken-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

Wolfsberger AC-

TBD-

Araz PFK0

Omonia9

Final

Hamrun3

RFS2

Shelbourne5

Linfield1

Breidablik5

Virtus2

Drita3

Differdange1

O. Ljubljana3

Noah7

Strasbourg3

Brondby2

Jagiellonia4

Dinamo Tirana1

Shakhtar3

Servette2

Anderlecht1

AEK3

Basaksehir2

Univ. Craiova5

Crystal Palace1

Fredrikstad0

Celje3

Ostrava0

Rakow Czestochowa3

Arda1

Hibernian4

Legia5

Levski Sofia1

AZ Alkmaar6

Polissya Zhytomyr2

Fiorentina6

Gyor2

Rapid Vienna3

Neman0

Rayo Vallecano5

Lausanne2

Besiktas1

Santa Clara1

Shamrock Rovers2

Rosenborg3

Mainz5

Sparta Prague2

Riga FC1

Hacken7

CFR Cluj3

Wolfsberger AC2

Omonia3