Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Warszawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Jagiellonia
15%
Draws
65%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jagiellonia lately — more wins on the board than Polonia Warszawa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 16%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa
1:2
Jul 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa
0:1
Mar 15, 2013 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa
2:0
Sep 15, 2012 Ekstraklasa
Polonia Warszawa vs Jagiellonia
1:1
Mar 12, 2012 Ekstraklasa
Polonia Warszawa vs Jagiellonia
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 31 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Polonia Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Warszawa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Polonia Warszawa let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Jagiellonia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Polonia Warszawa
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0
Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Warszawa

(Away)
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2
Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
02 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6