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Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia host Wisla Plock in the Ekstraklasa. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Jagiellonia at 1.7 goals for, 1.13 against; Wisla Plock at 1.41 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Jagiellonia slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.69) point toward Jagiellonia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Jagiellonia
15%
Draws
57%
Wisla Plock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wisla Plock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Jagiellonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Wisla Plock taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 13%
Wisla Plock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Wisla Plock
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia
0:1
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock
0:0
Apr 21, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia
2:4
Jan 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 22 / 100
Wisla Plock 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Wisla Plock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wisla Plock Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jagiellonia scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Wisla Plock has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Jagiellonia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Wisla Plock
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
18 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Jagiellonia
15 Oct
Jagiellonia
3 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

Wisla Plock

(Away)
19 Oct
Wisla Plock
1 : 0
Radomiak Radom
09 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
3 : 0
Wisla Plock
02 Oct
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Wisla Plock
13 Sept
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Cracovia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 11 8 2 1 20:10 26
2 Lech Poznan 10 8 1 1 27:9 25
3 Legia 11 6 5 0 22:9 23
4 Pogon Szczecin 10 6 3 1 15:6 21
5 GKS Katowice 11 6 0 5 22:16 18
6 Wisla 11 5 3 3 17:14 18
7 Zaglebie 11 5 3 3 13:13 18
8 Piast Gliwice 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
9 Korona Kielce 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
10 Wisla Plock 10 4 2 4 10:15 14
11 Cracovia 11 3 3 5 13:16 12
12 Motor Lublin 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
13 Jagiellonia 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
14 Widzew Lodz 11 1 7 3 14:15 10
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow 11 2 2 7 16:21 8
16 Radomiak Radom 11 2 2 7 9:24 8
17 Slask Wroclaw 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 11 2 0 9 15:26 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)