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Jagodina vs Djerdap

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 game between Jagodina and Djerdap finished 13-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagodina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jagodina
30%
Draws
27%
Djerdap
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Djerdap haven't matched Jagodina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jagodina's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jagodina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 20%
Djerdap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Djerdap
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 3.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Jagodina
0:1
Jun 12, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Djerdap
13:0
Nov 22, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Jagodina
0:3
Apr 5, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Djerdap
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Jagodina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 49 / 100
Djerdap 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Djerdap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagodina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Jagodina has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jagodina found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Djerdap's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jagodina VS Djerdap
3.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagodina

(Home)
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
23 Aug
Radnicki Svilajnac
0 : 2
Jagodina
15 Aug
Jagodina
3 : 3
Brzi Brod
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Djerdap

(Away)
13 Sept
Vlasina
1 : 0
Djerdap
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Sindjelic
0 : 2
Djerdap
22 Aug
Djerdap
3 : 0
Jedinstvo Krusevac
15 Aug
Rembas
1 : 1
Djerdap
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