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Jagodina vs Morava Cuprija

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Srpska Liga - East matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jagodina
35%
Draws
38%
Morava Cuprija
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morava Cuprija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jagodina have won more games recently than Morava Cuprija.
  • Model gives Jagodina a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 10%
Morava Cuprija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Morava Cuprija
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.91 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Morava Cuprija
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Morava Cuprija
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Morava Cuprija vs Jagodina
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Morava Cuprija vs Jagodina
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Morava Cuprija
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 40 / 100
Morava Cuprija 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Morava Cuprija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagodina found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Morava Cuprija has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Jagodina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jagodina VS Morava Cuprija
3.13 Goals Scored 3.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagodina

(Home)
26 Sept
Jagodina
0 : 6
Timok
19 Sept
Pcinja
1 : 1
Jagodina
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
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Morava Cuprija

(Away)
19 Sept
Morava Cuprija
1 : 1
Trayal Krusevac
12 Sept
Sloga Leskovac
0 : 2
Morava Cuprija
05 Sept
Morava Cuprija
3 : 1
Vlasina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
22 Aug
Morava Cuprija
3 : 0
Sindjelic
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