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Jagodina vs Timocanin

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2023/2024
Jagodina Logo

Jagodina

3 - 2
FT
Timocanin Logo

Timocanin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jagodina in this Srpska Liga - East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagodina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jagodina
30%
Draws
23%
Timocanin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jagodina have won more games recently than Timocanin.
  • Win probability leans Jagodina's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 20%
Timocanin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Timocanin
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.84 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.29 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timocanin
3:2
Nov 4, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Timocanin vs Jagodina
1:0
Apr 23, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Timocanin vs Jagodina
3:2
Oct 1, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timocanin
3:0
May 21, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timocanin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 76 / 100
Timocanin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Timocanin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagodina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jagodina scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Timocanin conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Jagodina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagodina VS Timocanin
3.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagodina

(Home)
26 Sept
Jagodina
0 : 6
Timok
19 Sept
Pcinja
1 : 1
Jagodina
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
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Timocanin

(Away)
26 Sept
Jedinstvo Krusevac
3 : 0
Timocanin
21 Sept
Timocanin
0 : 1
Brzi Brod
12 Sept
Rembas
0 : 0
Timocanin
05 Sept
Timocanin
1 : 0
Malosiste
29 Aug
Timok
5 : 0
Timocanin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trayal Krusevac 30 30 0 0 84:16 90
2 Sindjelic 30 16 4 10 52:45 52
3 Mesevo 30 16 4 10 54:45 51
4 Jedinstvo Krusevac 30 15 5 10 37:28 50
5 Radnicki Pirot 30 16 2 12 61:43 50
6 Jagodina 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
7 SFS Borac 30 13 4 13 53:54 43
8 Dunav Prahovo 30 13 4 13 43:43 43
9 Djerdap 30 13 4 13 39:52 43
10 Paracin 30 12 5 13 42:50 41
11 Vlasina 30 11 6 13 51:44 39
12 Radnicki Svilajnac 30 12 3 15 62:51 39
13 Buducnost Popovac 30 10 8 12 51:53 38
14 Pcinja 30 9 2 19 45:64 25
15 Timocanin 30 6 3 21 45:64 16
16 FK Zitoradja 30 3 2 25 21:100 11
Promotion - Prva Liga 2024/2025 (Main)