Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagodina vs Timok

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East game between Jagodina and Timok finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Timok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jagodina
30%
Draws
33%
Timok
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jagodina come out ahead of Timok on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 10%
Timok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Timok
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.88 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timok
0:6
Apr 11, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Jagodina
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timok
1:0
May 15, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Timok vs Jagodina
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Timok
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 34 / 100
Timok 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Timok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Jagodina stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Jagodina found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Timok let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jagodina VS Timok
3.5 Goals Scored 4.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagodina

(Home)
19 Sept
Pcinja
1 : 1
Jagodina
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
23 Aug
Radnicki Svilajnac
0 : 2
Jagodina
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Timok

(Away)
19 Sept
Timok
3 : 0
Sindjelic
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Krusevac
2 : 1
Timok
05 Sept
Timok
3 : 1
Rembas
29 Aug
Timok
5 : 0
Timocanin
22 Aug
Pcinja
4 : 4
Timok
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