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Jaguar vs Academica Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
40' Event
74' Event

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2024 game between Jaguar and Academica Vitoria finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaguar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jaguar
6%
Draws
90%
Academica Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Academica Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica Vitoria come out ahead of Jaguar on wins alone.
  • Academica Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Academica Vitoria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Academica Vitoria
3:0
Jul 9, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Academica Vitoria
0:1
Oct 14, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Jaguar
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 10 / 100
Academica Vitoria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Academica Vitoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaguar scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Academica Vitoria has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Academica Vitoria lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS Academica Vitoria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Decisao-
TBD-
Ipojuca0
Cabense1
Academica Vitoria-
TBD-
Jaguar4
Ypiranga0
Semi-finals
Decisao4
Cabense2
Academica Vitoria2
Jaguar4
Final
Decisao0
Jaguar1