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Jaguar vs Araripina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Pernambucano 2 2013 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2013 game between Jaguar and Araripina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araripina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Jaguar
30%
Draws
62%
Araripina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araripina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Jaguar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Araripina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araripina here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 19%
Araripina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Araripina
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 12 14
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.36 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
3:0
Aug 23, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
2:2
Oct 17, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
0:1
Oct 8, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 10 / 100
Araripina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Araripina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araripina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (44 games).

Araripina has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Jaguar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
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Araripina

(Away)
18 Oct
Araripina
0 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
14 Oct
Petrolina
2 : 3
Araripina
11 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 2
Araripina
07 Oct
Araripina
2 : 2
Belo Jardim
04 Oct
Araripina
4 : 1
Petrolina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Centro Limoeirense 9 6 3 0 13:6 21
2 Araripina 9 5 2 2 15:9 17
3 Academica Vitoria 10 5 2 3 15:11 17
4 Jaguar 10 4 0 6 10:14 12
5 Ibis Sport Club 10 1 4 5 7:12 7
6 Sete de Setembro (PE) 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timbauba FC 10 7 3 0 19:8 24
2 Altinho FC 10 7 1 2 18:10 22
3 America PE 10 6 1 3 18:14 19
4 Olinda FC 10 2 3 5 16:16 9
5 Vera Cruz 10 2 1 7 11:18 7
6 Serrano PE 10 0 3 7 9:25 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2013 (Play Offs)