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Jaguar vs Belo Jardim

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2014 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2014 game between Jaguar and Belo Jardim finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belo Jardim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Jaguar
20%
Draws
70%
Belo Jardim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belo Jardim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaguar come out ahead of Belo Jardim on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Belo Jardim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 15%
Belo Jardim Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Belo Jardim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Belo Jardim
1:3
Aug 17, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Belo Jardim vs Jaguar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 10 / 100
Belo Jardim 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Belo Jardim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belo Jardim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguar's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Belo Jardim conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jaguar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS Belo Jardim
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
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Belo Jardim

(Away)
19 Oct
Belo Jardim
4 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
27 Sept
Ipojuca
1 : 1
Belo Jardim
20 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 1
Belo Jardim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belo Jardim 10 6 3 1 24:7 21
2 Altinho FC 10 5 4 1 17:7 19
3 Jaguar 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
4 Araripina 10 3 6 1 18:12 15
5 Ibis Sport Club 10 2 1 7 10:19 7
6 Ferroviario do Cabo 10 0 3 7 15:40 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 10 6 3 1 22:8 21
2 Timbauba FC 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
3 Atletico PE 10 3 5 2 11:9 14
4 Afogados da Ingazeira 10 3 5 2 14:13 14
5 Olinda FC 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
6 Centro Limoeirense 10 1 1 8 5:22 4
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)