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Jaguar vs Ferroviario do Cabo

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2022 game between Jaguar and Ferroviario do Cabo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario do Cabo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jaguar
30%
Draws
47%
Ferroviario do Cabo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario do Cabo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Jaguar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Jaguar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 19%
Ferroviario do Cabo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Ferroviario do Cabo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Jaguar
1:0
Sep 14, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Ferroviario do Cabo
0:1
Aug 31, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Jaguar
2:5
Aug 20, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Ferroviario do Cabo
5:2
Aug 3, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Jaguar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 76 / 100
Ferroviario do Cabo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Ferroviario do Cabo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaguar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario do Cabo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Jaguar scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Away concern: Ferroviario do Cabo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 7

Ferroviario do Cabo

(Away)
11 Nov
Flamengo Arcoverde
7 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
05 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
2 : 2
1º de Maio
01 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 3
Decisao
28 Oct
Ibis Sport Club
5 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
25 Oct
Atletico PE
2 : 2
Ferroviario do Cabo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo Arcoverde 5 4 0 1 11:3 12
2 Decisao 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
3 Petrolina 5 2 2 1 12:3 8
4 1º de Maio 5 1 3 1 3:3 6
5 Pesqueira 5 1 2 2 8:5 5
6 Serrano PE 5 0 0 5 1:23 0
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central SC 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
2 Maguary 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
3 Ypiranga 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
4 Belo Jardim 5 1 2 2 3:3 5
5 CA Porto 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
6 Cha Grande 5 0 1 4 0:10 1
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Torres 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 America PE 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
3 Vera Cruz 5 2 1 2 5:3 7
4 Academica Vitoria 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
5 Sete de Setembro (PE) 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
6 Santa Fe PE 5 0 2 3 2:9 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico PE 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Ipojuca 6 5 0 1 14:3 15
3 Ferroviario do Cabo 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
4 Centro Limoeirense 6 2 2 2 11:5 8
5 Jaguar 6 2 0 4 7:17 6
6 Cabense 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
7 Timbauba FC 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2022 (Second stage)