Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaguar vs Petrolina

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2025 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Jaguar Logo

Jaguar

2 - 1
FT
Petrolina Logo

Petrolina

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Alvaro Vieira
29' Event
Daniel
46'
Sub
Ferreira I. In: Yonder Vargas
Out: Ferreira I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2025 game between Jaguar and Petrolina finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaguar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jaguar
20%
Draws
40%
Petrolina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jaguar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Petrolina's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 21%
Petrolina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Petrolina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2025 Pernambucano
Jaguar vs Petrolina
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaguar Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Petrolina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 24 / 100
Petrolina 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Petrolina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrolina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaguar scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Petrolina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Petrolina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS Petrolina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 6

Petrolina

(Away)
22 Feb
Petrolina
1 : 3
Sport Recife
17 Feb
Jaguar
2 : 1
Petrolina
09 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 1
Retro
02 Feb
Petrolina
0 : 0
Central SC
30 Jan
Decisao
3 : 0
Petrolina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Maguary 9 5 2 2 13:10 17
3 Nautico 9 5 1 3 15:9 16
4 Sport Recife 9 4 3 2 17:8 15
5 Decisao 9 3 4 2 11:12 13
6 Retro 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 Jaguar 9 3 2 4 10:16 11
8 Central SC 9 2 3 4 8:9 9
9 Afogados da Ingazeira 9 0 5 4 5:13 5
10 Petrolina 9 0 3 6 4:14 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Pernambucano 2026 (Main)