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Stadium Background

Jaguare vs Rio Branco ES

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2009 game between Jaguare and Rio Branco ES finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Branco ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jaguare
20%
Draws
57%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Branco ES come out ahead of Jaguare on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rio Branco ES a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguare Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare
3:0
Jan 30, 2024 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Rio Branco ES
2:2
Apr 14, 2010 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Rio Branco ES
1:2
Feb 27, 2010 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare
1:0
May 16, 2009 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguare 10 / 100
Rio Branco ES 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguare Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaguare scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Rio Branco ES has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jaguare stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rio Branco ES
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguare

(Home)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
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Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)