Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A Estadio Víctor Manuel Reyna

Jaguares De Chiapas

0 - 1

Celaya

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Varela J.

34'

Jimenez J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Jaguares De Chiapas and Celaya finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Jaguares De Chiapas

33%

Draws

40%

Celaya

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Celaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Jaguares De Chiapas haven't matched Celaya's recent run of results.
40% — that's where the model lands on Celaya taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Jaguares De Chiapas Clean Sheet 18%

Celaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jaguares De Chiapas	Celaya
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	15
Draws	6	6
Losses	14	9
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Celaya vs Jaguares De Chiapas

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Nov 23, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Jaguares De Chiapas vs Celaya

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Nov 9, 2002 Liga MX

Celaya vs Jaguares De Chiapas

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaguares De Chiapas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Celaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguares De Chiapas 28 / 100

Celaya 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jaguares De Chiapas Celaya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguares De Chiapas scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Celaya has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Jaguares De Chiapas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguares De Chiapas VS Celaya

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17