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Stadium Background

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Alvarado J.
40'
Arcila J.
46'
Sub
Moreno D. In: Gomez P.
Out: Moreno D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Jaguares de Cordoba
30%
Draws
54%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Once Caldas lately — more wins on the board than Jaguares de Cordoba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 19%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguares de Cordoba Once Caldas
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Jaguares de Cordoba
1:1
Aug 26, 2024 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Jaguares de Cordoba
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas
3:0
Oct 14, 2023 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Jaguares de Cordoba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaguares de Cordoba Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Roa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguares de Cordoba 32 / 100
Once Caldas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguares de Cordoba Once Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaguares de Cordoba scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Once Caldas conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Jaguares de Cordoba has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jaguares de Cordoba VS Once Caldas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguares de Cordoba

(Home)
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3
Jaguares de Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

Once Caldas

(Away)
10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Llaneros
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)