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Stadium Background

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Real Cundinamarca Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Cuellar K.
55' Event
Lopez D.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Acosta O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Jaguares de Cordoba
30%
Draws
56%
Real Cundinamarca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Cundinamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaguares de Cordoba haven't matched Real Cundinamarca's recent run of results.
  • Real Cundinamarca are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Real Cundinamarca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Cundinamarca, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 14%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguares de Cordoba Real Cundinamarca
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Colombia
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Real Cundinamarca
1:2
Jul 16, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Jaguares de Cordoba
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Primera B
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Real Cundinamarca
1:1
Feb 22, 2023 Copa Colombia
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0
Feb 14, 2023 Copa Colombia
Real Cundinamarca vs Jaguares de Cordoba
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaguares de Cordoba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Real Cundinamarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuellar K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acosta O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguares de Cordoba 19 / 100
Real Cundinamarca 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguares de Cordoba Real Cundinamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Cundinamarca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaguares de Cordoba scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Real Cundinamarca conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jaguares de Cordoba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguares de Cordoba VS Real Cundinamarca
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguares de Cordoba

(Home)
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3
Jaguares de Cordoba
29 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
America De Cali
Page 1 of 6

Real Cundinamarca

(Away)
27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2
Inter Bogotá
03 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Alianza 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios 4 3 1 0 14:5 10
2 Llaneros 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chico 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Patriotas 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
5 Atletico F.C. 4 0 1 3 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Medellin 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Leones 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Cucuta 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
5 Orsomarso 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Pereira 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Real Cundinamarca 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Aguilas Doradas 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Jaguares de Cordoba 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
5 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)