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Jaguariuna W vs Paulista W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaguariuna W play Paulista W in the Paulista Women 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jaguariuna W averaged 0.44 goals scored and 6 conceded. Paulista W averaged 0.53 goals scored and 4.31 conceded. In past meetings, Jaguariuna W won 1, Paulista W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 30, 2010 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.35 for Jaguariuna W and 0.86 for Paulista W. This points to a Jaguariuna W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Jaguariuna W
15%
Draws
31%
Paulista W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaguariuna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Jaguariuna W picked up more points recently compared to Paulista W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.35 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Jaguariuna W Clean Sheet 25%
Paulista W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguariuna W Paulista W
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 2 3
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 0.44 0.53
Goals Conceded 6 4.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2010 Paulista Women
Paulista W vs Jaguariuna W
1:3
May 5, 2010 Paulista Women
Jaguariuna W vs Paulista W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguariuna W 54 / 100
Paulista W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguariuna W Paulista W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaguariuna W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jaguariuna W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jaguariuna W attacking → ← attacking Paulista W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguariuna W scored in 31% of their last 16 games.

Paulista W let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jaguariuna W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Paulista W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 12
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771