Sport Picks
Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Tamaulipas, Tampico-Ciudad Madero 
Match Events
5'
5'
Ocejo Zazueta J. A.
Assist: Torres E.
7'
7'
Montiel S.
11'
11'
Cruz C.
Assist: Torres E.
AI Match Summary
Jaiba Brava in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaiba Brava.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Venados FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jaiba Brava lately — more wins on the board than Venados FC.
- Model gives Venados FC a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 10%
Venados FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jaiba Brava | Venados FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC
4:3
Apr 5, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Jaiba Brava
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Jaiba Brava
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jaiba Brava Compare
Top Goalscorer Ocejo Zazueta J. A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cruz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Venados FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lora S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kilani P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jaiba Brava 10 / 100
Venados FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jaiba Brava Venados FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Venados FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Venados FC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Jaiba Brava found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Jaiba Brava remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jaiba Brava VS Venados FC
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jaiba Brava
(Home) 11 Oct
Jaiba Brava
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
03 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 7
11 Oct
Jaiba Brava
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
23 Aug
Jaiba Brava
2 : 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
09 Aug
Jaiba Brava
3 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 4
Venados FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Venados FC
1 : 1 Leones Negros
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Venados FC
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Venados FC
15 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
5 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 18 |
| 6 | Cancun | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 18 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
