Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaiyq vs Khan Tengri Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Tobaniyaz A.
Assist: Umbetov T.
89' Event
Yakudi K.
Assist: Umbetov T.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Jaiyq and Khan Tengri finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaiyq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Jaiyq
30%
Draws
41%
Khan Tengri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Khan Tengri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Jaiyq carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Jaiyq are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 20%
Khan Tengri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiyq Khan Tengri
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.92 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Khan Tengri
2:0
Apr 24, 2026 First League
Khan Tengri vs Jaiyq
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobaniyaz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yakudi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Khan Tengri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 40 / 100
Khan Tengri 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiyq Khan Tengri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaiyq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaiyq scored in 63% of their last 24 outings.

Khan Tengri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jaiyq stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaiyq VS Khan Tengri
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaiyq

(Home)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

Khan Tengri

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
20 Aug
Tobol 2
3 : 4
Khan Tengri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)