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Jaiyq vs Yelimay Semey 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Chirkov R.
(Penalty)
85' Event
Chirkov R.
Assist: Odzhiev M.

AI Match Summary

Jaiyq in this First League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jaiyq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Jaiyq
20%
Draws
0%
Yelimay Semey 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaiyq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaiyq have won more games recently than Yelimay Semey 2.
  • Jaiyq are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 20%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaiyq Yelimay Semey 2
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 9 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 0.92 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Yelimay Semey 2
2:0
Jun 11, 2026 First League
Yelimay Semey 2 vs Jaiyq
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaiyq Compare

Top Goalscorer Chirkov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaiyq 85 / 100
Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaiyq Yelimay Semey 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaiyq Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yelimay Semey 2 has conceded goals in 92% of their last 24 outings.

Yelimay Semey 2's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Jaiyq scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jaiyq VS Yelimay Semey 2
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaiyq

(Home)
09 Oct
Jaiyq
1 : 1
Turan
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
Page 1 of 5

Yelimay Semey 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 3
Arys
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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