Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jalapa vs Esteli

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

87'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Primera 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Jalapa
30%
Draws
62%
Esteli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Jalapa haven't matched Esteli's recent run of results.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Esteli taking it.
  • Esteli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esteli, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 14%
Esteli Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jalapa Esteli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.24 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Esteli
0:1
May 7, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Jalapa
3:1
May 2, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Esteli
0:0
Mar 6, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Jalapa
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Esteli
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jalapa 15 / 100
Esteli 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jalapa Esteli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jalapa found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Esteli conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jalapa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jalapa VS Esteli
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jalapa

(Home)
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
17 Aug
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Jalapa
Page 1 of 6

Esteli

(Away)
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
27 Aug
Marathon
3 : 0
Esteli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Diriangen -
TBD -
Managua FC 2
Matagalpa 4
Esteli -
TBD -
Jalapa 3
Walter Ferreti 0
Semi-finals
Diriangen 4
Matagalpa 1
Esteli 3
Jalapa 1
Final
Diriangen 2
Esteli 3