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Jamaica U17 vs Guatemala U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U17
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Escobar O.
Penalty Missed
32' Event
Sagastume S.
Assist: Illescas K.
54' Event
Barrett R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jamaica U17
15%
Draws
36%
Guatemala U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jamaica U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jamaica U17 come out ahead of Guatemala U17 on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Jamaica U17 taking it.
  • Jamaica U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jamaica U17, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jamaica U17 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jamaica U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Guatemala U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica U17 Guatemala U17
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.42 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 CONCACAF Championship U17
Jamaica U17 vs Guatemala U17
1:2
Mar 2, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U17
Jamaica U17 vs Guatemala U17
2:1
Feb 19, 2011 CONCACAF Championship U17
Jamaica U17 vs Guatemala U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrett R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Guatemala U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagastume S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasquez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica U17 85 / 100
Guatemala U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica U17 Guatemala U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamaica U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jamaica U17 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Guatemala U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jamaica U17 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jamaica U17 VS Guatemala U17
4.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamaica U17

(Home)
11 Feb
Canada U17
1 : 3
Jamaica U17
08 Feb
Cayman Islands U17
0 : 12
Jamaica U17
06 Feb
Jamaica U17
3 : 0
Aruba U17
16 Feb
Jamaica U17
1 : 2
El Salvador U17
12 Feb
Cayman Islands U17
1 : 10
Jamaica U17
Page 1 of 7

Guatemala U17

(Away)
11 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 1
Guatemala U17
08 Feb
Grenada U17
0 : 7
Guatemala U17
06 Feb
Guatemala U17
2 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda U17
17 Feb
Haiti U17
2 : 0
Guatemala U17
14 Feb
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
0 : 5
Guatemala U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mexico U17 6
Nicaragua U17 0
El Salvador U17 3
Trinidad & Tobago U17 2
Panama U17 2
Cuba U17 0
Honduras U17 6
Bermuda U17 0
Costa Rica U17 1
Puerto Rico U17 2
Canada U17 3
Haiti U17 0
Jamaica U17 1
Guatemala U17 2
USA U17 7
Dominican Republic U17 0
Quarter-finals
Mexico U17 3
El Salvador U17 0
Panama U17 2
Honduras U17 1
Puerto Rico U17 0
Canada U17 3
Guatemala U17 3
USA U17 5
Semi-finals
Mexico U17 5
Panama U17 0
Canada U17 0
USA U17 2
Final
Mexico U17 3
USA U17 1