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Jamaica U20 vs Antigua and Barbuda U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jamaica U20 play Antigua and Barbuda U20 in the CONCACAF Championship U20 2022. Jamaica U20 are favorites here. Recently, Jamaica U20 averaged 2.85 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Antigua and Barbuda U20 averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.05 conceded. In past meetings, Jamaica U20 won 1, Antigua and Barbuda U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 22, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Jamaica U20 and 1.88 for Antigua and Barbuda U20. This points to a Jamaica U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Jamaica U20
15%
Draws
28%
Antigua and Barbuda U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jamaica U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Jamaica U20 picked up more points recently compared to Antigua and Barbuda U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
Jamaica U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Antigua and Barbuda U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica U20 Antigua and Barbuda U20
Matches Played 27 21
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.85 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U20
Jamaica U20 vs Antigua and Barbuda U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarlett Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Antigua and Barbuda U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica U20 53 / 100
Antigua and Barbuda U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica U20 Antigua and Barbuda U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamaica U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jamaica U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jamaica U20 attacking → ← attacking Antigua and Barbuda U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jamaica U20 scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Antigua and Barbuda U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jamaica U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Antigua and Barbuda U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 25
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USA U20321015:27
2Cuba U2032017:36
3Canada U2031116:34
4Saint Kitts and Nevis U2030030:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mexico U20321013:07
2Haiti U2031207:45
3Trinidad & Tobago U2031117:94
4Suriname U2030030:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Salvador U2032109:27
2Guatemala U2032016:76
3Panama U2031116:34
4Aruba U2030032:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honduras U2033009:09
2Costa Rica U2031114:24
3Jamaica U2031113:64
4Antigua and Barbuda U2030030:80