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Jamaica U20 W vs Guatemala U20 W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jamaica U20 W play Guatemala U20 W in the CONCACAF Championship Women U20 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jamaica U20 W averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Guatemala U20 W averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Jamaica U20 W won 0, Guatemala U20 W won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 26, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Jamaica U20 W and 1.81 for Guatemala U20 W. This points to a Guatemala U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Jamaica U20 W
35%
Draws
33%
Guatemala U20 W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guatemala U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Jamaica U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Guatemala U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Jamaica U20 W Clean Sheet 11%
Guatemala U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamaica U20 W Guatemala U20 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.14 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Jamaica U20 W vs Guatemala U20 W
0:1
Feb 22, 2020 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Jamaica U20 W vs Guatemala U20 W
4:4
Jan 9, 2014 CONCACAF Championship Women U20
Guatemala U20 W vs Jamaica U20 W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamaica U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Guatemala U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamaica U20 W 31 / 100
Guatemala U20 W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamaica U20 W Guatemala U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guatemala U20 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jamaica U20 W attacking → ← attacking Guatemala U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jamaica U20 W scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Guatemala U20 W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jamaica U20 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Guatemala U20 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 42
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USA U20 W330020:09
2Puerto Rico U20 W32014:86
3Dominican Republic U20 W31024:113
4Nicaragua U20 W30031:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mexico U20 W330013:09
2Panama U20 W31116:44
3Guyana U20 W31022:103
4Honduras U20 W30121:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canada U20 W330016:09
2El Salvador U20 W32018:46
3Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 W31027:143
4Trinidad & Tobago U20 W30032:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guatemala U20 W32105:37
2Haiti U20 W31203:25
3Jamaica U20 W31113:14
4Cuba U20 W30033:80