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Jamshedpur vs Army Red

India India

Durand Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Sanan M. K.
90'
Kadir S.

AI Match Summary

Jamshedpur in this Durand Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jamshedpur
15%
Draws
54%
Army Red
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Army Red

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Army Red haven't matched Jamshedpur's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Jamshedpur taking it.
  • Jamshedpur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Army Red, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Jamshedpur Clean Sheet 17%
Army Red Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamshedpur Army Red
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Durand Cup
Jamshedpur vs Army Red
1:0
Aug 14, 2024 Durand Cup
Jamshedpur vs Army Red
2:3
Aug 9, 2019 Durand Cup
Army Red vs Jamshedpur
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamshedpur Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanan M. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Army Red Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamshedpur 41 / 100
Army Red 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamshedpur Army Red

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Jamshedpur found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Jamshedpur remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Army Red's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jamshedpur VS Army Red
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamshedpur

(Home)
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
13 Aug
Jamshedpur
6 : 0
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
04 Aug
Jamshedpur
1 : 2
SC Delhi
26 Jul
Jamshedpur
5 : 0
Defenders FC
21 May
Jamshedpur
0 : 0
Odisha FC
Page 1 of 7

Army Red

(Away)
16 Aug
Army Red
0 : 1
East Bengal
12 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 2
Army Red
05 Aug
Army Red
4 : 0
Baghpat
26 Jul
Army Red
1 : 0
Samaleswari SC
11 Aug
Army Red
4 : 2
1 Ladakh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namdhari 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 6:13 1
4 South United 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Diamond Harbour 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Border Security Force 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamshedpur 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Army Red 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 1 Ladakh 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodoland FC 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Minerva Punjab 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Indo-Tibetan Border Police 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Lajong 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 ATM FA 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Rangdajied United 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indian Navy 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Real Kashmir 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 NEROCA 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 TRAU FC 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams