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Jamshedpur vs Chennaiyin FC Prediction & H2H Stats

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ISL 2025/2026 JRD Tata Sports Complex, Jamshedpur
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sanan M. K.
Assist: Gabriel R.
16'
Khan I.
27' Event
Messi Bouli R.
Assist: Barla N.

AI Match Summary

Jamshedpur in this ISL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jamshedpur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Jamshedpur
20%
Draws
10%
Chennaiyin FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jamshedpur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jamshedpur lately — more wins on the board than Chennaiyin FC.
  • Jamshedpur are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular ISL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Jamshedpur Clean Sheet 68%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamshedpur Chennaiyin FC
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.47 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Chennaiyin FC
4:1
Mar 9, 2025 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs Jamshedpur
5:2
Nov 4, 2024 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Chennaiyin FC
1:5
Aug 4, 2024 Durand Cup
Jamshedpur vs Chennaiyin FC
2:1
Apr 4, 2024 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs Jamshedpur
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamshedpur Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanan M. K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Messi Bouli R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chennaiyin FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Prakadeswaran S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamshedpur 95 / 100
Chennaiyin FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamshedpur Chennaiyin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamshedpur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chennaiyin FC conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Jamshedpur found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Jamshedpur has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jamshedpur VS Chennaiyin FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamshedpur

(Home)
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
13 Aug
Jamshedpur
6 : 0
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
04 Aug
Jamshedpur
1 : 2
SC Delhi
26 Jul
Jamshedpur
5 : 0
Defenders FC
21 May
Jamshedpur
0 : 0
Odisha FC
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Chennaiyin FC

(Away)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
10 May
North East United
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0
Chennaiyin FC
25 Apr
Jamshedpur
4 : 1
Chennaiyin FC
21 Apr
Chennaiyin FC
0 : 0
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 13 7 5 1 30:11 26
2 Mohun Bagan 13 7 5 1 23:9 26
3 Mumbai City 13 7 4 2 17:9 25
4 Bengaluru FC 13 6 5 2 18:12 23
5 Jamshedpur 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
6 Minerva Punjab 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 FC Goa 13 5 5 3 15:11 20
8 Kerala Blasters 13 5 2 6 15:17 17
9 North East United 13 4 4 5 16:21 16
10 Inter Kashi 13 3 4 6 11:17 13
11 Odisha FC 13 2 5 6 14:22 11
12 SC Delhi 13 2 5 6 13:17 11
13 Chennaiyin FC 13 2 3 8 9:21 9
14 Mohammedan 13 0 3 10 7:32 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)