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Jamshedpur vs Minerva Punjab

India India

ISL JRD Tata Sports Complex
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Match Events

50'
Halder P.
60'
Sub
Zeljkovic S. In: Osuji B.
Out: Zeljkovic S.
60'
Sub
Suhail F M. In: Rebello P.
Out: Suhail F M.

AI Match Summary

The ISL game between Jamshedpur and Minerva Punjab finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jamshedpur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jamshedpur
30%
Draws
34%
Minerva Punjab
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jamshedpur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Jamshedpur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jamshedpur a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Jamshedpur here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Jamshedpur Clean Sheet 17%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamshedpur Minerva Punjab
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Minerva Punjab
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Jamshedpur
1:2
Dec 13, 2024 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Minerva Punjab
2:1
Feb 15, 2024 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Jamshedpur
0:4
Oct 22, 2023 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Minerva Punjab
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamshedpur Compare

Top Goalscorer Barretto V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Minerva Punjab Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamshedpur 36 / 100
Minerva Punjab 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamshedpur Minerva Punjab

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jamshedpur scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Minerva Punjab has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jamshedpur stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jamshedpur VS Minerva Punjab
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323