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Jamshedpur vs Minerva Punjab Prediction & H2H Stats

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ISL 2025/2026 JRD Tata Sports Complex, Jamshedpur
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Halder P.
60'
Sub
Zeljkovic S. In: Osuji B.
Out: Zeljkovic S.
60'
Sub
Suhail F M. In: Rebello P.
Out: Suhail F M.

AI Match Summary

The ISL 2025/2026 game between Jamshedpur and Minerva Punjab finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jamshedpur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Jamshedpur
20%
Draws
47%
Minerva Punjab
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Minerva Punjab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Jamshedpur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular ISL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Jamshedpur here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Jamshedpur Clean Sheet 68%
Minerva Punjab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jamshedpur Minerva Punjab
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Minerva Punjab
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Jamshedpur
1:2
Dec 13, 2024 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Minerva Punjab
2:1
Feb 15, 2024 ISL
Minerva Punjab vs Jamshedpur
0:4
Oct 22, 2023 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Minerva Punjab
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jamshedpur Compare

Top Goalscorer Barretto V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Minerva Punjab Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jamshedpur 41 / 100
Minerva Punjab 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jamshedpur Minerva Punjab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamshedpur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jamshedpur scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jamshedpur remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Minerva Punjab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jamshedpur VS Minerva Punjab
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jamshedpur

(Home)
17 Aug
Mohun Bagan
2 : 1
Jamshedpur
13 Aug
Jamshedpur
6 : 0
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
04 Aug
Jamshedpur
1 : 2
SC Delhi
26 Jul
Jamshedpur
5 : 0
Defenders FC
21 May
Jamshedpur
0 : 0
Odisha FC
Page 1 of 7

Minerva Punjab

(Away)
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
27 Sept
Calcutta Customs
0 : 7
Minerva Punjab
21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2
Mumbai City
16 May
Odisha FC
2 : 3
Minerva Punjab
11 May
East Bengal
0 : 0
Minerva Punjab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 13 7 5 1 30:11 26
2 Mohun Bagan 13 7 5 1 23:9 26
3 Mumbai City 13 7 4 2 17:9 25
4 Bengaluru FC 13 6 5 2 18:12 23
5 Jamshedpur 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
6 Minerva Punjab 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 FC Goa 13 5 5 3 15:11 20
8 Kerala Blasters 13 5 2 6 15:17 17
9 North East United 13 4 4 5 16:21 16
10 Inter Kashi 13 3 4 6 11:17 13
11 Odisha FC 13 2 5 6 14:22 11
12 SC Delhi 13 2 5 6 13:17 11
13 Chennaiyin FC 13 2 3 8 9:21 9
14 Mohammedan 13 0 3 10 7:32 3
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