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Japan U16 vs Australia U16 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U16 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Japan U16 in this AFC Championship U16 2018 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Japan U16
15%
Draws
49%
Australia U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Australia U16 lately — more wins on the board than Japan U16.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Australia U16 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U16, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Australia U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U16 Australia U16
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 13 19
Draws 3 0
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.71 2.85
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2018 AFC Championship U16
Japan U16 vs Australia U16
3:1
Sep 22, 2016 AFC Championship U16
Australia U16 vs Japan U16
0:6
Sep 10, 2014 AFC Championship U16
Japan U16 vs Australia U16
2:4
Jun 8, 2012 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Australia U16
3:1
Jun 2, 2012 Friendly International
Australia U16 vs Japan U16
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 30 / 100
Australia U16 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U16 Australia U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Australia U16 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Japan U16 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U16 VS Australia U16
1.13 Goals Scored 2.83
1 Goals Conceded 2.33
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U16

(Home)
21 Apr
Cameroon U16
1 : 2
Japan U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
Japan U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
18 Feb
Japan U16
3 : 1
Netherlands U16
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Australia U16

(Away)
01 Jun
China U16
5 : 2
Australia U16
30 May
Australia U16
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia U16
28 May
Vietnam U16
1 : 2
Australia U16
03 Jul
Thailand U16
1 : 2
Australia U16
01 Jul
Indonesia U16
3 : 5
Australia U16
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Japan U16 2
Oman U16 1
Indonesia U16 2
Australia U16 3
North Korea U16 1
Tajikistan U16 2
South Korea U16 1
India U16 0
Semi-finals
Japan U16 3
Australia U16 1
Tajikistan U16 2
South Korea U16 1
Final
Japan U16 1
Tajikistan U16 0