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Japan U16 vs England U16 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Friendly International 2025 Stade de la Salmondiere, Les Herbiers
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Kavuma McQueen R.
Assist: Higgins H.
40' Event
Takaki E.
Assist: Oda S.
46' Event
Satomi T.
Assist: Igarashi R.

AI Match Summary

England U16 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Japan U16
15%
Draws
42%
England U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • England U16 have won more games recently than Japan U16.
  • Win probability leans Japan U16's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 10%
England U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U16 England U16
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 21
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.78 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs England U16
2:3
Oct 31, 2023 Friendly International
England U16 vs Japan U16
2:1
Apr 10, 2023 Friendly International
England U16 vs Japan U16
0:0
Apr 3, 2012 Friendly International
England U16 vs Japan U16
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Takaki E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Satomi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

England U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavuma McQueen R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nicoll-Jazuli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 40 / 100
England U16 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U16 England U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16 scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

England U16 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Japan U16 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U16 VS England U16
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U16

(Home)
21 Apr
Cameroon U16
1 : 2
Japan U16
19 Apr
Japan U16
1 : 0
Mexico U16
17 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
Japan U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
18 Feb
Japan U16
3 : 1
Netherlands U16
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England U16

(Away)
30 Oct
England U16
5 : 1
Wales U16
21 Apr
Vendee selection U17
1 : 3
England U16
19 Apr
Portugal U16
3 : 1
England U16
17 Apr
England U16
0 : 3
Mexico U16
15 Apr
Japan U16
2 : 3
England U16
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