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Japan U16 vs Ivory Coast U16

World World

Friendly International 2024 Complexe sportif Maxime Bossis
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Japan U16 play Ivory Coast U16 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Japan U16 averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Ivory Coast U16 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Japan U16 won 0, Ivory Coast U16 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Japan U16 and 2.00 for Ivory Coast U16. This points to a Ivory Coast U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Japan U16
15%
Draws
55%
Ivory Coast U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Japan U16 picked up more points recently compared to Ivory Coast U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Japan U16 Clean Sheet 10%
Ivory Coast U16 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U16 Ivory Coast U16
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.52 2
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2024 Friendly International
Japan U16 vs Ivory Coast U16
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asada H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ivory Coast U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dosso I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kone M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 29 / 100
Ivory Coast U16 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U16 Ivory Coast U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ivory Coast U16 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Japan U16 attacking → ← attacking Ivory Coast U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Ivory Coast U16 let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Japan U16 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ivory Coast U16 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 33
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33