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Japan U16 W vs Sweden U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Japan U16 W play Sweden U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. Japan U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Japan U16 W averaged 3.37 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Sweden U16 W averaged 1.66 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, Japan U16 W won 1, Sweden U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Japan U16 W and 1.19 for Sweden U16 W. This points to a Japan U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Japan U16 W
15%
Draws
19%
Sweden U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Sweden U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Japan U16 W Clean Sheet 20%
Sweden U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U16 W Sweden U16 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 23 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 3.37 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Japan U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shikida N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sweden U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U16 W 63 / 100
Sweden U16 W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U16 W Sweden U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U16 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Japan U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Japan U16 W attacking → ← attacking Sweden U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U16 W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Sweden U16 W let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Japan U16 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 26
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13