Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U17 vs Qatar U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 King Abdullah Sports City Training Stadium (Pitch C), Jeddah
Japan U17 Logo

Japan U17

3 - 1
FT
Qatar U17 Logo

Qatar U17

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Tokode A.
Assist: Benyatla D.
46'
Sub
Al Hajri M. In: Al Hamad F.
Out: Al Hajri M.
46'
Sub
Okamoto A. In: Chonan K.
Out: Okamoto A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Japan U17
15%
Draws
24%
Qatar U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U17 lately — more wins on the board than Qatar U17.
  • Model gives Japan U17 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Japan U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U17, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 Qatar U17
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U17
Japan U17 vs Qatar U17
3:1
Oct 27, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U17
Japan U17 vs Qatar U17
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitahara M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saito K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Qatar U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tokode A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 85 / 100
Qatar U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 Qatar U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U17 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Japan U17 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Qatar U17 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 VS Qatar U17
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U17

(Home)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
Page 1 of 7

Qatar U17

(Away)
12 May
China U17
2 : 0
Qatar U17
09 May
Qatar U17
2 : 0
Indonesia U17
05 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Qatar U17
26 Jan
Qatar U17
2 : 3
PSG U17
21 Jan
Qatar U17
2 : 1
Rangers U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U17 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
2 Tajikistan U17 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
3 Thailand U17 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
4 Myanmar U17 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 China U17 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
3 Qatar U17 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Indonesia U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
2 South Korea U17 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Yemen U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 United Arab Emirates U17 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Australia U17 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 India U17 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
4 North Korea U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)