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Japan U17 vs Saudi Arabia U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2025
Sun, Apr 13, 2025
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Seguchi T.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Saeed A.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Dahal S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Saudi Arabia U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Japan U17
15%
Draws
27%
Saudi Arabia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan U17 come out ahead of Saudi Arabia U17 on wins alone.
  • Japan U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Japan U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saudi Arabia U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Saudi Arabia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 Saudi Arabia U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.3 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
Japan U17 vs Saudi Arabia U17
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asada H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Saudi Arabia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 84 / 100
Saudi Arabia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 Saudi Arabia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Japan U17 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Japan U17 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Saudi Arabia U17 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 VS Saudi Arabia U17
1.5 Goals Scored 2.14
1 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U17

(Home)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
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Saudi Arabia U17

(Away)
30 Aug
Turkey U17
4 : 0
Saudi Arabia U17
15 May
Saudi Arabia U17
1 : 3
China U17
12 May
Saudi Arabia U17
5 : 5
Tajikistan U17
09 May
Thailand U17
0 : 2
Saudi Arabia U17
05 May
Saudi Arabia U17
4 : 0
Myanmar U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uzbekistan U17 3
United Arab Emirates U17 1
Indonesia U17 0
North Korea U17 6
Japan U17 2
Saudi Arabia U17 3
Tajikistan U17 2
South Korea U17 3
Semi-finals
Uzbekistan U17 3
North Korea U17 0
Saudi Arabia U17 2
South Korea U17 1
Final
Uzbekistan U17 2
Saudi Arabia U17 0