Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U17 W vs Australia U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U17 Suzhou Taihu Football Sports Centre (Pitch 4), Suzhou
Japan U17 W Logo

Japan U17 W

5 - 0
FT
Australia U17 W Logo

Australia U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Hanashiro M.
Assist: Shimizu W.
22' Event
Hanashiro M.
Assist: Tamamura M.
35' Event
Tamamura M.
Assist: Hayashi Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Japan U17 W
15%
Draws
31%
Australia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan U17 W come out ahead of Australia U17 W on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Japan U17 W taking it.
  • Japan U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U17 W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Japan U17 W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Australia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 W Australia U17 W
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 19 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.68 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
Japan U17 W vs Australia U17 W
4:0
May 8, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
Japan U17 W vs Australia U17 W
5:0
May 10, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
Australia U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanashiro M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tamamura M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Australia U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 W 85 / 100
Australia U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 W Australia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U17 W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Australia U17 W let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

Solid form: Japan U17 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 W VS Australia U17 W
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Japan U17 W

(Home)
06 Jul
Japan U17 W
2 : 1
USA U17 W
03 Jul
Japan U17 W
5 : 3
USA U17 W
17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1
Japan U17 W
14 May
Japan U17 W
4 : 0
Australia U17 W
11 May
Japan U17 W
1 : 0
South Korea U17 W
Page 1 of 7

Australia U17 W

(Away)
14 May
Japan U17 W
4 : 0
Australia U17 W
11 May
Vietnam U17 W
0 : 2
Australia U17 W
08 May
Japan U17 W
5 : 0
Australia U17 W
05 May
Lebanon U17 W
1 : 1
Australia U17 W
02 May
Australia U17 W
2 : 0
India U17 W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 W 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 Vietnam U17 W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
3 Thailand U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Myanmar U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 W 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Australia U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
3 India U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Lebanon U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:18 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 W 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 South Korea U17 W 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Philippines U17 W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Chinese Taipei U17 W 3 0 1 2 0:14 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams