Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Japan U17 W vs South Korea U17 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U17 Suzhou Taihu Football Sports Centre (Pitch 1)
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Ito A.
46'
Sub
Noda F. In: Ikeda Y.
Out: Noda F.
60'
Sub
Ito A. In: Maeda M.
Out: Ito A.

AI Match Summary

Japan U17 W in this AFC Asian Cup Women U17 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Japan U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Japan U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
South Korea U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Japan U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U17 W have won more games recently than South Korea U17 W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Japan U17 W taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Japan U17 W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 18%
South Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Japan U17 W South Korea U17 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 3.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
Japan U17 W vs South Korea U17 W
1:0
May 16, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
Japan U17 W vs South Korea U17 W
3:0
Sep 25, 2010 World Cup Women U17
South Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Japan U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Higuchi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

South Korea U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Japan U17 W 85 / 100
South Korea U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Japan U17 W South Korea U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Japan U17 W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

South Korea U17 W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Japan U17 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Japan U17 W VS South Korea U17 W
3.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
China U17 W3
India U17 W0
North Korea U17 W6
Thailand U17 W0
Japan U17 W1
South Korea U17 W0
Vietnam U17 W0
Australia U17 W2
Semi-finals
China U17 W2
North Korea U17 W4
Japan U17 W4
Australia U17 W0
Final
North Korea U17 W5
Japan U17 W1